The debate for No. 1 in 2026 NBA Draft with three different players

  • Jeff Hauser
  • December 16, 2025
The race for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft has evolved from a coronation into a genuine philosophical debate. As the college basketball season approaches conference play, NBA front offices are finding themselves split between three distinct archetypes, turning the top of the lottery into a "pick your flavor" scenario rather than a consensus decision.

For much of the last year, the conversation began and ended with AJ Dybantsa. Now starring at BYU, the 6-foot-9 wing possesses the kind of outlier physical tools and scoring versatility that scouts dream of. Dybantsa is viewed as the highest-ceiling prospect, a fluid athlete capable of creating his own shot from anywhere on the floor. His tenure with the Cougars has only solidified his status as a prototypical modern NBA wing, yet he no longer sits alone on the throne.

Challenging him is Duke freshman Cameron Boozer. The son of former NBA All-Star Carlos Boozer has been a force of consistency and polish. While Dybantsa represents raw upside, Boozer represents an incredibly high floor and a winning pedigree. His transition to the college game has been seamless, showcasing a blend of passing IQ, rebounding, and interior scoring that suggests he could contribute to an NBA rotation today. For teams valuing certainty and immediate impact, Boozer is making an undeniable case.

Complicating the decision is Darryn Peterson, the dynamic guard out of Kansas. In a league increasingly driven by lead ball-handlers, Peterson offers a two-way skillset that rivals any guard prospect in recent memory. His ability to control the pace, defend at the point of attack, and score at all three levels makes him the preferred choice for franchises lacking a franchise floor general.

As we head deeper into the 2025-26 season, the "consensus" No. 1 pick is virtually non-existent. The debate is no longer just about who is the best player, but rather what a franchise values most: Dybantsa’s limitless ceiling, Boozer’s guaranteed production, or Peterson’s engine. The lottery balls in May won’t just determine the order; they will determine the philosophy.